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Morgan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History
Coach: Kevin Broadus

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 969 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 940 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1063 (#88) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -3.3 (#215) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -1.0 (#182) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#123) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.2 More → 0.330 (#223) AdjNet -6.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.2 More → 0.327 (#223) AdjNet -6.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 67.9 More → 0.437 (#214) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 67.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.541 (#126) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.467 (#191) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#180) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 32 More → 968 (#195) RD 123 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 71 - 59
2012-11-10 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 61 - 72
2012-11-11 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 73 - 74
2012-11-16 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 71 - 87
2012-11-29 @ Liberty Flames W 67 - 62
2012-12-01 @ VMI Keydets W 81 - 80
2012-12-16 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 68 - 87
2012-12-19 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 57 - 75
2012-12-27 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 62 - 79
2012-12-29 @ San Diego Toreros L 63 - 66
2013-01-05 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 60 - 70
2013-01-12 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 76 - 60
2013-01-14 vs Savannah State Tigers L 70 - 78
2013-01-19 @ Hampton Pirates W 80 - 78
2013-01-21 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 71 - 73
2013-01-26 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 55 - 52
2013-01-28 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 61 - 69
2013-02-02 vs Hampton Pirates L 62 - 64
2013-02-04 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 59 - 64
2013-02-09 @ Coppin State Eagles W 80 - 51
2013-02-11 @ Howard Bison W 53 - 51
2013-02-16 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 87 - 55
2013-02-18 @ Delaware State Hornets L 50 - 52
2013-02-23 @ High Point Panthers W 75 - 68
2013-02-27 vs Coppin State Eagles W 86 - 68
2013-03-02 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 58 - 45
2013-03-04 vs Delaware State Hornets W 66 - 47
2013-03-07 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 78 - 67
2013-03-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 61 - 52
2013-03-14 @ Savannah State Tigers W 64 - 61
2013-03-15 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 82 - 71
2013-03-16 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 54 - 57

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Black Justin Black G 32 33.2 14.2 4.2 2.9 1.2 0.0 2.9 1.9 17.8 13 6 2.2 3.4 48.3 38.9 57.1 -0.24 313.2 54.2
DeWayne Jackson DeWayne Jackson F 32 32.1 13.8 5.6 2.5 1.7 0.9 2.4 1.4 20.6 38 6 6.3 10.8 54.5 31.2 50.0 1.81 446.4 60.2
Anthony Hubbard Anthony Hubbard G 32 28.2 11.4 6.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 2.8 1.2 16.5 -4 6 -0.7 -1.1 56.4 0.0 80.0 -2.22 382.8 56.4
Ian Chiles Ian Chiles C 32 21.7 9.2 5.2 0.8 0.4 1.7 1.1 1.3 14.9 6 6 1.0 2.2 59.5 0 53.8 -0.65 310.1 59.5
Shaquille Duncan Shaquille Duncan F 28 25.0 7.3 4.1 0.7 0.4 2.2 1.4 0.5 12.6 26 6 4.3 6.8 33.3 0 50.0 1.43 645.5 33.3
Blake Bozeman Blake Bozeman G 32 31.7 5.8 2.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 2.0 1.2 8.8 14 6 2.3 3.3 25.6 21.7 83.3 -1.68 224.5 32.1
Tauron Bailey Tauron Bailey - 29 8.8 2.2 2.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 4.4 - - - - 60.0 0 20.0 - 262.3 60.0
Donte Pretlow Donte Pretlow G 30 14.1 2.1 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.6 0.4 3.4 -5 6 -0.8 -3.2 61.5 75.0 100.0 -2.68 230.5 73.1
Cedric Blossom Cedric Blossom F 23 9.4 1.9 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 3.6 3 6 0.5 2.4 40.0 0 100.0 -1.1 374.1 40.0
Thair Heath Thair Heath F 23 5.8 1.3 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 2.6 13 5 2.6 15.7 100.0 0 0 0.06 387.5 100.0
Daon Riley Daon Riley - 3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rasean Simpson Rasean Simpson G 17 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.13 0 0
Tyrece Edwards Tyrece Edwards - 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Willis Turnipseed Willis Turnipseed F 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG