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2013-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ— (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—

Actual: Morgan State Bears -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pendarvis Williams * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 2 2 22 32 -
Malcolm Hawkins * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 9 18 -
Jamel Fuentes * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
Rob Johnson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 2 11 -
Brandon Goode * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 12 19 -
Rashid Gaston 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 4 1 13 23 -
Kris Brown 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Paulius Vinogradovas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
A.J. Rogers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kievyn Lila-St. Rose 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Riley Maye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Marese Phelps 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Black * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 12 17 -
Anthony Hubbard * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 1 3 12 24 -
DeWayne Jackson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 18 22 -
Blake Bozeman * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
Ian Chiles * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 4 13 -
Donte Pretlow 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
Tauron Bailey 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 3 12 -
Cedric Blossom 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Thair Heath 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 7 -

* = starter