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2013-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears North Carolina Central Eagles Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Black * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 20 24 -
Anthony Hubbard * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 6 20 26 -
DeWayne Jackson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 12 14 -
Ian Chiles * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 2 7 16 -
Blake Bozeman * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Donte Pretlow 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 0 5 -
Tauron Bailey 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Rasean Simpson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Thair Heath 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Daon Riley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Central Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emanuel Chapman * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 3 9 14 -
Ray Willis * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 1 2 19 29 -
Jeremy Ingram * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 5 9 -
Stanton Kidd * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 13 19 -
Karamo Jawara 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
Jay Copeland 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 13 -
Alfonzo Houston 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
Antonin Galaya 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 -

* = starter