Morgan State
2026 Team Stats (27 games)
75.9
PPG
77.5
Opp
-1.6
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
35.2
RPG
13.4
APG
12.3
TO
82.1
Pace
69.4
AdjO
86.6
AdjD
#354
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 843 (#300) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 816 (#310) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#143) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.9 (#354) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.4 (#369) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.220 (#325) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.103 (#309) | NetEff -17.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.058 (#355) | AdjNet -24.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.055 (#355) | AdjNet -24.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.172 (#354) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 86.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.438 (#530) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.468 (#361) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.461 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 946 (#305) | RD 141 | GP 27 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Worrell Jr.
|
G | 27 | 29.2 | 18.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 12.9 | 9.6 | -2 | -2.0 | -2.9 | 40.2 | 38.0 | 87.8 | -0.01 | 59.4 | 51.4 |
E. Davis
|
- | 23 | 35.2 | 14.1 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 11.3 | -70 | -4.1 | -18.2 | 45.8 | 22.7 | 72.1 | -1.07 | 53.0 | 46.8 |
R. Lawson
|
- | 27 | 33.4 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.3 | 7.6 | -71 | -3.4 | -17.4 | 35.9 | 29.1 | 80.2 | -1.11 | 48.1 | 41.5 |
W. Peggs Jr.
|
- | 26 | 19.0 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 3.7 | -22 | -1.2 | -9.2 | 38.7 | 35.1 | 78.9 | 0.1 | 53.1 | 49.7 |
Eugene Alvin
|
- | 27 | 18.9 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 6.3 | -39 | -1.9 | -10.7 | 47.0 | 40.3 | 61.1 | -0.46 | 57.8 | 56.0 |
Christian Meeks
|
- | 27 | 28.4 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 55.4 | 25.0 | 62.0 | - | 59.7 | 56.4 |
C. Oliver
|
- | 23 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 57.7 | 14.3 | 69.6 | - | 61.0 | 58.5 |
M. Harris
|
- | 18 | 12.9 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 31 | 1.8 | 14.1 | 54.9 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 58.5 | 54.9 |
T. Edwards
|
- | 2 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 48.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.02 | 42.1 | 42.9 |
David Bumpass
|
- | 20 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | -29 | -1.9 | -19.0 | 37.9 | 9.5 | 57.1 | -0.4 | 44.1 | 39.7 |
Manok Lual
|
- | 19 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -13 | -1.0 | -11.4 | 48.0 | 25.0 | 47.4 | -0.31 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
D. James
|
- | 19 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -37 | -3.7 | -71.7 | 54.5 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.01 | 58.8 | 54.5 |
M. Wade
|
- | 11 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | -22 | -2.2 | -25.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
J. Socka
|
- | 6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 15.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.02 | 35.5 | 33.3 |
Breon Barnett
|
- | 13 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 19 | 1.7 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 20.2 | 11.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG