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Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Niagara Purp... Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
47.0% (#298) 53.0% (#343) Morgan ... -1.3 76-74
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
47.3% (#323) 52.7% (#344) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
22.8% (#309) 77.2% (#344) Niagara... -6.7 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
77.3% (#257) 22.7% (#357) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
55.8% (#275) 44.2% (#344) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
56.1% (#276) 43.9% (#348) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
50.5% (#323) 49.5% (#347) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Morgan State Bears Niagara Purp...
Games 2 1
PPG 99.0 46.0
FG% 49.7% 42.2%
3PT% 38.1% 40.0%
FT% 57.8% -%
RPG 57.0 24.0
APG 20.0 9.0
SPG 8.5 2.0
BPG 7.0 4.0
TOPG 13.5 24.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Morgan State Bears Niagara Purp...
Adj. Off Eff - 90.4
Adj. Def Eff - 109.6
Adj. Net Eff - -19.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Morgan State Bears Top Players

No player data available

Niagara Purple Eagles Top Players

No player data available