Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
25.7% (#298) | 74.3% (#222) | UMBC Retrievers -6.1 | 72-78 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
31.3% (#323) | 68.7% (#209) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.1% (#309) | 90.9% (#277) | UMBC Retrievers -12.6 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
51.6% (#257) | 48.4% (#281) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
48.7% (#275) | 51.3% (#289) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
48.7% (#276) | 51.3% (#289) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.1% (#323) | 59.9% (#229) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 99.0 | 67.0 |
| FG% | 49.7% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 28.6% |
| FT% | 57.8% | 83.3% |
| RPG | 57.0 | 36.0 |
| APG | 20.0 | 10.5 |
| SPG | 8.5 | 7.0 |
| BPG | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| TOPG | 13.5 | 15.5 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | - | 93.3 |
| Adj. Def Eff | - | 106.7 |
| Adj. Net Eff | - | -13.4 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Morgan State Bears Top Players
No player data available
UMBC Retrievers Top Players
No player data available