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Morehead State

Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History

2018 Team Stats (1 games)

49.0
PPG
101.0
Opp
-52.0
Margin
23.7%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
63.6%
FT%
32.0
RPG
5.0
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.6
Adj PPG
75.2
Adj Opp PPG
#293
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 801 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 808 (#304) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 908 (#297) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -9.0 (#293) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -8.3 (#285) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.201 (#311) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.4 More โ†’ 0.193 (#288) AdjNet -12.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.6 More โ†’ 0.189 (#289) AdjNet -12.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 75.2 More โ†’ 0.316 (#293) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.0 More โ†’ 0.372 (#290) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.271 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.281 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 174 | GP 27 More โ†’ 790 (#311) RD 174 | GP 27

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Xavier Musketeers L 49 - 101
2017-11-12 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 70 - 77
2017-11-16 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 86 - 83
2017-11-21 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 61 - 67
2017-11-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 63 - 96
2017-11-27 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 78 - 82
2017-11-30 vs Alice Lloyd Eagles W 103 - 56
2017-12-02 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 49 - 86
2017-12-12 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 85 - 57
2017-12-17 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 98 - 94
2017-12-19 @ Butler Bulldogs L 69 - 85
2017-12-28 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 67 - 69
2017-12-30 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 69 - 76
2018-01-04 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 52 - 61
2018-01-06 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 65 - 70
2018-01-11 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 75 - 78
2018-01-13 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 71 - 67
2018-01-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 57 - 58
2018-01-20 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 74 - 55
2018-01-25 @ Murray State Racers L 81 - 87
2018-01-27 @ Austin Peay Governors L 76 - 92
2018-02-01 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 58 - 61
2018-02-03 vs Belmont Bruins L 73 - 83
2018-02-08 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 62 - 78
2018-02-10 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 73 - 75
2018-02-15 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 74 - 83
2018-02-17 @ Belmont Bruins L 65 - 108
2018-02-22 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 70 - 53
2018-02-24 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 70 - 66

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Walker Jordan Walker G 26 32.7 12.4 3.1 2.5 1.2 0.3 2.7 1.0 15.8 -100 22 -4.5 -6.6 37.0 35.7 87.5 -2.65 527.5 46.3
A.J. Hicks A.J. Hicks G 26 31.2 11.5 3.0 4.2 1.8 0.2 3.0 0.5 17.2 -18 22 -0.8 -1.2 28.6 14.3 63.6 3.2 790.9 32.1
Lamontray Harris Lamontray Harris F 23 23.5 11.3 6.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 2.2 0.8 16.5 -44 20 -2.2 -4.0 42.1 14.3 66.7 0.87 642.2 44.7
Djimon Henson Djimon Henson G 26 27.5 9.3 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.6 11.2 -101 22 -4.6 -7.5 26.7 28.6 83.3 -3.14 685.9 33.3
Londell King Londell King F 23 20.5 8.3 6.7 0.7 0.6 1.0 2.0 0.4 14.9 13 20 0.7 1.5 30.0 0.0 33.3 1.41 848.1 30.0
Malek Green Malek Green - 1 21.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -99 22 -4.5 -8.8 50.0 100.0 50.0 -2.78 60.8 62.5
DeVon Cooper DeVon Cooper - 26 20.9 6.0 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.2 9.1 -43 22 -2.0 -3.9 33.3 50.0 100.0 0.57 1126.5 41.7
James Baker James Baker G 22 9.4 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 4.2 -32 18 -1.8 -9.0 25.0 0.0 0 -2.84 406.2 25.0
Trell Thompson Trell Thompson G 11 10.5 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.7 0 9 0.0 0.0 12.5 33.3 50.0 0.59 146.4 18.8
Alonzo Chatman Alonzo Chatman C 21 11.5 2.1 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.6 -41 17 -2.4 -9.2 0.0 0 50.0 -1.92 1196.8 0.0
Richard Feagin Richard Feagin G 16 5.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 -40 14 -2.9 -18.7 0 0 0 -4.47 0 0
Austin Crawford Austin Crawford G 7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 3 6 0.5 12.8 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
Cedric Wright Cedric Wright F 2 7.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG