Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.8 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djimon Henson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| DeVon Cooper * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Walker * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Londell King * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hicks | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Chatman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lamontray Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Trell Thompson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Richard Feagin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamar Baldwin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Paul Jorgensen * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Kelan Martin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Aaron Thompson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian David | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Campbell Donovan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter