Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +6 (87-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Hicks * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Walker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| DeVon Cooper * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lamontray Harris * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Djimon Henson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Londell King | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| James Baker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Chatman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Buchanan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter