๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2018-02-22

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“

Actual: Morehead State Eagles +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matthew Butler * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 4 14 15 -
Mike Fofana * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 2 11 -
DelFincko Bogan * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 6 7 9 -
Dominique Williams * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 -
Jailen Gill * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Terrence Parker 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 20 1 2 2 6 12 31 -
Darius Thompson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
Fatodd Lewis 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 11 12 -
Parrish Hewitt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Lorenzen Wright 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hicks * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 9 0 3 15 30 -
Jordan Walker * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 8 15 -
Lamontray Harris * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 9 17 -
Djimon Henson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
DeVon Cooper 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 12 20 -
Londell King 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 0 14 28 -
Alonzo Chatman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Richard Feagin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
James Baker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Austin Crawford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter