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Morehead State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History
Coach: Sean Woods

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

73.7
PPG
80.7
Opp
-7.0
Margin
48.1%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
32.0
RPG
11.7
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.4
Adj PPG
71.7
Adj Opp PPG
#174
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 990 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1034 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1006 (#162) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.5 (#178) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.4 (#172) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.547 (#147) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.444 (#187) AdjNet -2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.443 (#188) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.494 (#174) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.503 (#172) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.479 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 32 More → 967 (#189) RD 124 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 vs Mid-Continent University Mid-Continent W 107 - 60
2013-11-12 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 71 - 63
2013-11-15 @ Xavier Musketeers L 56 - 79
2013-11-17 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 102 - 94
2013-11-19 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 74 - 61
2013-11-22 @ UCLA Bruins L 70 - 81
2013-11-24 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 63 - 58
2013-11-28 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 88 - 75
2013-11-29 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 82 - 86
2013-12-02 vs Wright State Raiders W 74 - 69
2013-12-04 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 60 - 74
2013-12-15 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 61 - 67
2013-12-19 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 120 - 83
2013-12-23 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 67 - 82
2013-12-30 vs Asbury Eagles W 102 - 68
2014-01-02 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 70 - 63
2014-01-04 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 85 - 77
2014-01-11 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 65 - 76
2014-01-16 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 80 - 67
2014-01-18 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 82 - 75
2014-01-23 @ Belmont Bruins L 66 - 80
2014-01-25 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 80 - 74
2014-01-29 vs Belmont Bruins L 73 - 76
2014-02-01 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 65 - 54
2014-02-08 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 86 - 79
2014-02-13 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 69 - 67
2014-02-15 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 79 - 53
2014-02-19 vs Austin Peay Governors W 90 - 88
2014-02-22 @ Murray State Racers L 58 - 69
2014-02-27 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 68 - 70
2014-03-01 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 84 - 91
2014-03-06 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 76 - 61
2014-03-07 @ Belmont Bruins L 63 - 86
2014-03-19 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 67 - 77

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Angelo Warner Angelo Warner G 29 36.2 17.9 4.9 3.3 2.0 0.3 2.7 4.1 21.6 36 29 1.2 1.5 48.3 32.6 88.2 -0.3 181.8 54.6
Brent Arrington Brent Arrington G 29 27.7 12.1 3.0 2.2 1.9 0.3 2.2 2.8 14.6 106 29 3.7 5.5 38.8 31.2 64.7 3.56 184.8 45.0
Drew Kelly Drew Kelly F 29 25.3 9.6 4.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 12.2 47 29 1.6 2.6 47.3 33.3 54.5 -0.88 232.3 54.5
Bakari Turner Bakari Turner G 7 18.7 9.4 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.0 1.1 10.7 -45 5 -9.0 -20.1 25.0 0.0 83.3 -4.11 310.2 25.0
Chad Posthumus Chad Posthumus C 29 25.8 9.1 11.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 2.2 2.1 17.2 14 29 0.5 0.8 58.3 0 58.1 -0.74 167.9 58.3
Kareem Storey Kareem Storey G 26 31.4 7.1 3.0 5.1 1.3 0.0 3.5 2.2 10.8 40 27 1.5 2.2 44.8 35.3 72.0 0.38 134.1 50.0
Billy Reader Billy Reader C 29 15.1 6.3 3.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 8.4 12 29 0.4 1.2 65.8 0 76.5 -2.23 202.3 65.8
Greg Dotson Greg Dotson F 24 16.1 4.2 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 6.0 25 25 1.0 2.7 50.0 0.0 57.9 -1.19 118.0 50.0
Luka Pajkovic Luka Pajkovic G 3 12.0 4.0 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 4.7 0.3 -27 28 -1.0 -2.7 14.3 18.2 100.0 -2.28 36.1 21.4
Jordan Percell Jordan Percell F 23 13.0 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 3.0 -19 24 -0.8 -3.0 56.5 33.3 64.3 -2.34 102.9 58.7
DeAndre Leatherwood DeAndre Leatherwood C 12 5.5 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.4 1 11 0.1 1.0 100.0 0 0.0 -0.49 153.1 100.0
Jared Ravenscraft Jared Ravenscraft - 2 4.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG