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2013-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Northern Kentucky Norse Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Kentucky Norse -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kareem Storey * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 6 15 -
Angelo Warner * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 3 25 34 -
Chad Posthumus * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 0 0 0 7 6 15 -
Drew Kelly * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 5 11 -
Brent Arrington * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
Bakari Turner 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 14 15 -
Billy Reader 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
DeAndre Leatherwood 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Greg Dotson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Kentucky Norse

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Giesler * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 2 5 15 -
Tyler White * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
Daniel Camps * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 8 8 -
Todd Johnson * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Matt Rosenwinkel * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dean Danos 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 13 14 -
Deontae Cole 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 13 -
Cole Murray 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 7 11 -
Jalen Billups 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 11 16 -
Anthony Monaco 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jack Flournoy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter