Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Pryor * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -5 | - |
| G. McGhee * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Z. Mason * | 27 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| L. Stokes * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Bran | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Bareika | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Robertson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Pajkovic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kareem Storey * | 36 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 35 | 10-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Brent Arrington * | 32 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chad Posthumus * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Billy Reader | 27 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bakari Turner | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter