Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Storey * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Brent Arrington * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Billy Reader * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Chad Posthumus | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Greg Dotson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| DeAndre Leatherwood | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daishon Knight * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Bobby Hunter * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Tony Wills | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Stacho | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter