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Montana State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Montana State Bobcats
Program History
Coach: Danny Sprinkle

2022 Team Stats (2 games)

76.0
PPG
69.2
Opp
+6.9
Margin
53.6%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
80.4%
FT%
28.0
RPG
7.0
APG
12.0
TO
70.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1151 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1116 (#48) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +22.6 (#178) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +12.2 (#167) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.539 (#52) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.1 More → 0.888 (#16) NetEff +19.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.185 (#99) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.179 (#99) AdjNet -13.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.613 (#110) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.810 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.788 (#105) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 34 More → 1221 (#58) RD 112 | GP 34

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 90 - 94
2021-11-14 vs Rocky Mountain Bears W 81 - 52
2021-11-17 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 74 - 91
2021-11-20 @ New Mexico Lobos L 78 - 81
2021-11-26 vs Portland Pilots W 69 - 66
2021-11-27 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 83 - 64
2021-11-28 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 75 - 68
2021-12-02 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 75 - 77
2021-12-04 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 68 - 66
2021-12-07 vs North Dakota State Bison W 68 - 49
2021-12-11 @ St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies W 72 - 65
2021-12-19 vs Portland Pilots W 61 - 59
2021-12-22 vs SAGU American Indian College Warriors W 124 - 73
2021-12-30 vs Weber State Wildcats L 75 - 85
2022-01-01 vs Idaho State Bengals W 60 - 40
2022-01-09 vs Montana Grizzlies W 66 - 59
2022-01-20 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 89 - 84
2022-01-22 @ Portland State Vikings W 73 - 60
2022-01-27 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 69 - 65
2022-01-29 vs Idaho Vandals W 70 - 64
2022-02-05 @ Weber State Wildcats W 78 - 57
2022-02-07 @ Idaho State Bengals W 72 - 54
2022-02-10 vs Portland State Vikings W 77 - 74
2022-02-12 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 72 - 70
2022-02-17 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 86 - 88
2022-02-19 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 76 - 71
2022-02-27 @ Montana Grizzlies L 74 - 80
2022-03-01 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 69 - 53
2022-03-03 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 75 - 69
2022-03-05 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 87 - 85
2022-03-10 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 83 - 61
2022-03-11 vs Weber State Wildcats W 69 - 66
2022-03-12 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 87 - 66
2022-03-18 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 62 - 97

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Muscadin G. Muscadin F 1 31.0 18.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 31.0 8 0.7 1.3 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
D. Wilson D. Wilson F 1 26.0 15.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 23.0 314 9.2 15.0 0 0 0 1.88 0 0
X. Bishop X. Bishop G 16 32.5 13.2 3.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 2.4 4.7 13.3 213 6.1 7.5 40.0 38.2 86.4 1.3 124.6 48.7
J. Belo J. Belo - 33 26.9 12.7 6.8 1.1 0.4 1.7 2.2 1.6 18.9 123 3.6 5.7 54.7 0 66.7 0.64 305.1 54.7
D. Marin D. Marin G 2 35.0 12.0 3.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 14.0 83 2.6 3.3 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
A. Adamu A. Adamu G 23 28.0 12.0 4.7 1.6 0.3 0.2 1.5 3.0 14.2 146 4.4 6.9 52.9 46.7 100.0 0.96 193.0 57.9
J. Overton J. Overton F 2 30.0 12.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.5 188 5.7 7.8 30.0 0.0 100.0 1.32 110.3 30.0
T. Cool T. Cool G 1 32.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 -134 -4.6 -5.9 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
B. Hedstrom B. Hedstrom G 1 30.0 11.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 -17 -0.6 -1.0 0 0 0 0.21 0 0
M. Porter M. Porter F 1 22.0 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 -157 -5.2 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
R. Battle R. Battle - 16 17.1 8.3 2.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.3 3.1 7.6 - - - 42.0 32.1 83.3 0.49 109.8 51.0
A. Mohamed A. Mohamed F 16 25.0 7.4 5.8 1.2 0.7 0.5 1.8 1.9 11.8 127 3.6 6.0 41.9 20.0 68.8 0.66 156.4 45.2
Tyler Patterson Tyler Patterson - 34 22.6 7.0 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.4 7.7 152 4.3 8.3 45.8 45.5 100.0 0.87 239.1 66.7
Great Osobor Great Osobor - 23 15.6 6.5 4.3 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.7 1.2 9.8 156 4.5 11.6 67.9 0 77.3 1.44 197.7 67.9
L. Sorensen L. Sorensen G 1 24.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 9.0 -106 -3.8 -6.9 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
K. Cunningham K. Cunningham G 1 21.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 14 0.7 4.0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
M. Gatkuoth M. Gatkuoth - 3 7.0 5.3 1.3 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.3 1 0.2 1.2 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
N. Gazelas N. Gazelas - 16 14.7 5.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.0 3.9 83 2.4 6.9 50.0 36.8 83.3 0.24 107.3 60.9
Chika Nduka Chika Nduka - 2 19.0 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.5 67 2.0 3.2 50.0 0 100.0 0.91 133.0 50.0
E. Taylor III E. Taylor III G 1 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -91 -4.0 -13.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
P. McMahon P. McMahon - 16 6.1 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 3.8 7 0.3 2.4 66.7 100.0 100.0 -0.11 243.9 75.0
Sam Lecholat Sam Lecholat - 31 8.4 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.6 24 0.8 3.5 25.0 0.0 80.0 -0.03 381.0 25.0
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 31 1.0 1.7 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
M. Silveira M. Silveira C 2 10.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 0 0 1.02 50.0 33.3
I. Spears I. Spears - 3 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 -0.3 -7 -0.6 -8.4 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.18 34.7 25.0
Kellen Tynes Kellen Tynes G 15 8.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.4 28 0.8 4.0 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.19 96.6 50.0
G. Buzangu G. Buzangu C 1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -9 -0.7 -9.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Carter Ash Carter Ash - 3 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Fernandez B. Fernandez - 10 3.5 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 -4 -0.4 -4.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 100.0 0.0
J. Reinalda J. Reinalda C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Kozak M. Kozak F 1 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6 0.4 2.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.0 0.0 0.0
C. Carlson C. Carlson F 1 13.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2 0.1 0.4 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
D. Wingett D. Wingett F 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -11 -0.7 -3.9 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0
J. Francis J. Francis G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31 2.6 12.0 0 0 0 0.41 0 0
Y. Harvey Y. Harvey G 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -2 -0.1 -0.3 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Z. Theisen Z. Theisen - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45 2.8 17.2 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
Jaylon Gentry Jaylon Gentry G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12 1.0 11.5 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG