Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cone * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - |
| N. Mains * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Haymon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Towt * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| E. Richards * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Stark | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Aguek | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Green | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Patterson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Belo * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
* = starter