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Minnesota

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Minnesota Golden Gophers, Minnesota
Program History
Coach: Richard Pitino

2018 Team Stats (12 games)

74.1
PPG
76.4
Opp
-2.3
Margin
43.1%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
38.3
RPG
15.1
APG
10.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.8
Adj PPG
71.7
Adj Opp PPG
#100
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 909 (#295) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +5.9 (#97) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +1.8 (#140) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.504 (#168) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.728 (#98) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.7 More → 0.733 (#98) AdjNet +8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.613 (#100) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.443 (#227) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.535 (#159) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.501 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 32 More → 993 (#181) RD 158 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 92 - 77
2017-11-13 @ Providence Friars W 86 - 74
2017-11-15 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 107 - 81
2017-11-19 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 92 - 64
2017-11-21 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 100 - 57
2017-11-24 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 69 - 51
2017-11-25 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 89 - 84
2017-11-29 vs Miami Hurricanes L 81 - 86
2017-12-03 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 89 - 67
2017-12-05 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 68 - 78
2017-12-09 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 79 - 95
2017-12-11 vs Drake Bulldogs W 68 - 67
2017-12-21 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 77 - 63
2017-12-23 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 95 - 60
2017-12-30 vs Harvard Crimson W 65 - 55
2018-01-03 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 77 - 67
2018-01-06 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 71 - 75
2018-01-10 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 60 - 83
2018-01-13 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 47 - 81
2018-01-15 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 95 - 84
2018-01-18 @ Maryland Terrapins L 66 - 77
2018-01-20 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 49 - 67
2018-01-23 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 69 - 77
2018-01-30 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 80 - 94
2018-02-03 @ Michigan Wolverines L 73 - 76
2018-02-06 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 85 - 91
2018-02-09 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 56 - 80
2018-02-13 vs Michigan State Spartans L 57 - 87
2018-02-19 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 63 - 73
2018-02-21 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 86 - 82
2018-02-25 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 60 - 84
2018-02-28 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 54 - 65

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Murphy Jordan Murphy F 28 31.6 16.6 11.1 1.4 1.3 0.9 2.6 5.6 22.9 -61 10 -6.1 -8.7 53.2 26.7 66.2 3.91 121.7 54.4
Nate Mason Nate Mason G 27 34.2 15.6 3.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 1.6 6.4 16.7 -108 10 -10.8 -14.0 36.8 33.3 80.4 -1.46 106.0 44.0
Amir Coffey Amir Coffey - 15 31.1 14.0 4.0 3.9 0.7 0.3 1.7 5.3 15.9 - - - - 46.8 40.9 71.4 0.09 111.2 52.5
Reggie Lynch Reggie Lynch C 14 26.1 10.1 8.1 1.4 0.6 4.2 1.6 3.8 18.9 - - - - 62.3 0 65.2 1.93 111.7 62.3
Dupree McBrayer Dupree McBrayer G 23 29.0 9.8 2.1 2.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 4.0 10.1 -49 9 -5.4 -8.6 32.3 31.0 46.7 2.41 113.5 39.2
Isaiah Washington Isaiah Washington G 28 19.9 8.6 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 1.5 4.1 8.6 -79 10 -7.9 -19.6 39.5 29.3 73.5 -2.0 93.8 44.7
Davonte Fitzgerald Davonte Fitzgerald F 27 13.2 4.0 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.4 5.6 -64 9 -7.1 -24.8 37.8 14.3 57.1 -3.05 124.0 40.5
Jam. Harris Jam. Harris - 25 13.9 3.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.4 3.7 -40 8 -5.0 -15.0 31.4 33.3 16.7 -0.76 127.5 45.7
Michael Hurt Michael Hurt F 28 19.6 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 5.7 -58 10 -5.8 -16.1 26.7 20.0 28.6 -1.27 140.6 30.0
Bakary Konate Bakary Konate C 24 16.1 1.9 3.8 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 5.9 -77 9 -8.6 -23.5 58.3 0 50.0 -3.45 153.7 58.3
Gaston Diedhiou Gaston Diedhiou F 16 9.6 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.5 -35 6 -5.8 -23.3 44.4 0 40.0 -2.62 66.8 44.4
Hunt Conroy Hunt Conroy G 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brady Rudrud Brady Rudrud G 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.16 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG