Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | -1.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +10 (77-67). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finke * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Mark Alstork * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Leron Black * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Mark Smith * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Te'Jon Lucas * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Da'Monte Williams | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Trent Frazier | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Aaron Jordan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Greg Eboigbodin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kipper Nichols | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matic Vesel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Mason * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Amir Coffey * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 29 | - |
| Bakary Konate | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Washington | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davonte Fitzgerald | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter