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2017-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 14.0% 86.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +16 (95-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Murphy * 36 7-13 0-0 6-11 10 1 0 0 3 20 15 -
A. Coffey * 35 6-11 1-3 5-6 6 1 0 0 1 18 13 -
N. Mason * 35 4-12 2-8 7-8 4 6 1 0 2 17 14 -
D. McBrayer * 28 2-4 2-4 0-2 2 0 1 1 2 6 4 -
R. Lynch * 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 2 5 5 -
G. Diedhiou 18 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
I. Washington 18 3-10 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
D. Fitzgerald 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
M. Hurt 7 0-1 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Barford * 36 9-15 2-5 2-3 4 4 0 1 0 22 16 -
A. Beard * 31 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 6 0 0 2 10 8 -
D. Macon * 30 4-12 2-8 2-3 2 8 2 0 2 12 10 -
D. Gafford * 21 8-8 0-0 0-3 7 1 0 6 1 16 21 -
D. Thomas * 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Thompson 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 2 2 2 9 -
C.J. Jones 15 5-7 5-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 15 8 -
A. Bailey 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
A. Cook 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
D. Hall 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter