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2018-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 87.4% 12.6% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 80.0% 20.0% -7.6 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 86.2% 13.8% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Log Adjusted 95.7% 4.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -30 (57-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 25 1-7 1-2 2-2 5 4 1 0 1 5 7 -
C. Winston * 24 4-5 4-5 0-1 5 5 0 0 2 12 15 -
J. Langford * 24 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 22 10-14 5-8 2-2 6 3 0 3 0 27 25 -
N. Ward * 18 5-7 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 1 6 13 11 -
M. McQuaid 25 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 9 8 -
L. Nairn Jr. 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 5 -
K. Goins 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
G. Schilling 11 0-0 0-0 2-4 8 1 0 0 1 2 10 -
B. Carter 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
X. Tillman 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
C. George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mason * 38 4-16 1-6 5-6 0 4 2 0 2 14 2 -
I. Washington * 35 6-12 3-4 3-3 3 3 1 0 1 18 12 -
M. Hurt * 31 1-7 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Murphy * 31 6-13 2-2 2-2 7 0 4 0 2 16 12 -
B. Konate * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
Jam. Harris 27 2-9 2-8 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 -3 -
D. Fitzgerald 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Diedhiou 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter