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Michigan

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History
Coach: John Beilein

2015 Team Stats (9 games)

71.2
PPG
64.7
Opp
+6.6
Margin
46.9%
FG%
42.5%
3P%
83.3%
FT%
30.7
RPG
12.0
APG
8.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
58.4
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1119 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1083 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 975 (#207) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +8.3 (#62) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +8.1 (#57) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.493 (#173) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.819 (#64) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.823 (#64) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 58.4 More → 0.662 (#67) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 58.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.577 (#92) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.646 (#87) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More → 1076 (#107) RD 112 | GP 32

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs Hillsdale Chargers W 92 - 68
2014-11-17 vs Bucknell Bison W 77 - 53
2014-11-20 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 71 - 62
2014-11-24 @ Oregon Ducks W 70 - 63
2014-11-25 vs Villanova Wildcats L 55 - 60
2014-11-29 vs Nicholls Colonels W 91 - 62
2014-12-02 vs Syracuse Orange W 68 - 65
2014-12-06 vs NJIT Highlanders L 70 - 72
2014-12-09 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 42 - 45
2014-12-13 @ Arizona Wildcats L 53 - 80
2014-12-20 vs SMU Mustangs L 51 - 62
2014-12-22 vs Coppin State Eagles W 72 - 56
2014-12-30 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 73 - 65
2015-01-03 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 51 - 64
2015-01-06 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 73 - 64
2015-01-10 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 62 - 57
2015-01-13 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 52 - 71
2015-01-17 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 56 - 54
2015-01-20 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 54 - 50
2015-01-24 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 64 - 69
2015-01-27 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 58 - 44
2015-02-01 @ Michigan State Spartans L 66 - 76
2015-02-05 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 54 - 72
2015-02-08 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 67 - 70
2015-02-12 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 52 - 64
2015-02-17 vs Michigan State Spartans L 67 - 80
2015-02-22 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 64 - 57
2015-02-28 @ Maryland Terrapins L 56 - 66
2015-03-03 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 78 - 82
2015-03-07 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 79 - 69
2015-03-12 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 73 - 55
2015-03-13 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 60 - 71
2015-04-01 vs UCLA Bruins L 65 - 69

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caris LeVert Caris LeVert C 14 36.3 15.4 4.8 4.1 1.9 0.3 2.1 6.3 18.0 65 14 4.6 5.8 52.3 57.1 91.3 4.05 109.6 63.6
Zak Irvin Zak Irvin G 27 36.7 14.3 4.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 1.5 7.5 12.7 20 25 0.8 0.9 44.3 40.6 66.7 1.69 87.9 54.4
Derrick Walton Derrick Walton G 14 33.9 11.1 4.4 2.5 1.2 0.0 1.5 4.7 13.0 41 14 2.9 3.7 42.4 40.0 83.3 1.62 95.3 51.5
Spike Albrecht Spike Albrecht G 26 32.6 8.6 2.4 4.1 1.0 0.0 1.2 3.8 11.1 -34 24 -1.4 -1.9 42.4 41.7 92.0 -2.12 101.8 52.5
Aubrey Dawkins Aubrey Dawkins G 24 23.1 7.6 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.8 3.2 7.0 -3 24 -0.1 -0.3 41.6 35.1 100.0 1.99 112.4 50.0
Ricky Doyle Ricky Doyle F 26 17.8 5.8 3.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.2 7.2 -12 24 -0.5 -1.2 59.6 0 67.9 0.0 109.6 59.6
Max Bielfeldt Max Bielfeldt F 25 15.4 5.5 3.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.3 7.5 50 23 2.2 6.6 53.4 50.0 75.0 1.86 109.0 56.9
M. Abdur-Rahkman M. Abdur-Rahkman G 24 21.8 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.1 2.9 4.6 2 22 0.1 0.2 35.7 30.4 87.5 2.39 80.9 40.7
Mark Donnal Mark Donnal F 24 10.6 3.5 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.5 4.4 -30 23 -1.3 -5.3 61.1 33.3 81.8 -3.31 91.9 63.9
Kameron Chatman Kameron Chatman G 27 15.3 3.4 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.2 22 25 0.9 2.6 29.3 14.3 66.7 0.2 72.0 31.0
D.J. Wilson D.J. Wilson - 4 5.8 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.0 1.5 0 5 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0 -1.81 25.0 25.0
Andrew Dakich Andrew Dakich G 12 5.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 -18 10 -1.8 -14.3 33.3 50.0 0 -1.53 41.7 41.7
Sean Lonergan Sean Lonergan F 15 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 -32 12 -2.7 -44.4 100.0 0 0 -5.55 100.0 100.0
Austin Hatch Austin Hatch G 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.87 0 0
Jon Rubenstein Jon Rubenstein - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Kapustka Ryan Kapustka - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG