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2015-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spike Albrecht * 39 3-5 1-2 5-5 2 7 0 1 3 12 14 -
Zak Irvin * 39 9-16 3-5 2-5 2 2 3 0 1 23 13 -
Aubrey Dawkins * 34 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 34 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 3 0 4 2 -1 -
Ricky Doyle * 27 5-5 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 2 1 15 18 -
Mark Donnal 10 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
Kameron Chatman 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Andrew Dakich 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Max Bielfeldt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yogi Ferrell * 38 7-13 2-4 2-3 4 6 1 0 3 18 13 -
Robert Johnson * 32 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
Collin Hartman * 31 2-4 1-3 3-4 4 0 1 2 2 8 9 -
Troy Williams * 31 6-9 0-0 8-8 8 3 2 0 4 20 20 -
James Blackmon * 30 5-12 2-6 1-3 8 2 1 1 1 13 12 -
Nick Zeisloft 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Stanford Robinson 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Hanner Mosquera-Perea 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Emmitt Holt 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Montana 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter