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2015-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -18 (55-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Albrecht * 39 2-6 2-3 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 8 6 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 6-12 1-1 2-2 8 2 2 0 2 15 13 -
Z. Irvin * 38 6-15 2-5 0-0 6 6 1 0 1 14 11 -
M. Bielfeldt * 31 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 10 9 -
A. Dawkins * 24 8-12 2-5 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 18 12 -
K. Chatman 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
R. Doyle 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Donnal 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Lonergan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Dakich 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Egwu * 35 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
R. Rice * 33 4-13 0-4 2-4 9 1 2 1 1 10 9 -
K. Nunn * 32 4-12 0-5 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 2 -
M. Hill * 28 3-12 1-3 6-6 6 1 0 1 0 13 9 -
A. Starks * 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -4 -
J. Tate 26 3-4 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 7 5 -
L. Black 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 10 6 -
A. Colbert 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. La Tulip 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Liss 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Schmidt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter