Miami
2017 Team Stats (13 games)
60.5
PPG
64.2
Opp
-3.8
Margin
41.3%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
69.6%
FT%
33.2
RPG
9.5
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
58.5
Adj Opp PPG
#35
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1303 (#34) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1212 (#45) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1051 (#95) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +13.5 (#35) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.2 (#64) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.700 (#66) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.905 (#34) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.908 (#33) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.753 (#35) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.587 (#94) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.784 (#39) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.757 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1245 (#36) | RD 109 | GP 33 |
2017 Schedule & Results
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Reed
|
G | 26 | 35.7 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 15.4 | 17 | 5 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 41.6 | 37.9 | 88.6 | 3.04 | 106.5 | 51.9 |
J. Newton
|
G | 23 | 31.2 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 25.0 | 68.9 | -1.72 | 85.8 | 42.7 |
B. Brown
|
- | 26 | 32.7 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 14.6 | 9 | 5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 43.0 | 28.9 | 72.7 | 1.96 | 87.4 | 47.5 |
K. Murphy
|
F | 26 | 30.5 | 7.7 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 11.5 | 22 | 5 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 48.4 | 0 | 55.6 | 2.49 | 90.2 | 48.4 |
A. Lawrence II
|
G | 26 | 25.6 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 9.0 | 18 | 5 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 38.8 | 36.5 | 75.9 | 2.02 | 95.4 | 50.6 |
D. Vasiljevic
|
G | 26 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 24 | 5 | 4.8 | 12.9 | 32.0 | 27.6 | 77.8 | 2.85 | 98.2 | 42.7 |
D. Hernandez
|
F | 25 | 16.6 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | 57.8 | 0.0 | 44.4 | - | 136.1 | 57.8 |
E. Izundu
|
C | 26 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5.3 | -15 | 5 | -3.0 | -8.0 | 38.9 | 0 | 57.1 | -1.43 | 107.9 | 38.9 |
R. Miller Jr.
|
C | 11 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 116.7 | 33.3 |
M. Robinson
|
G | 6 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.94 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
C. Stowell
|
F | 4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG