Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -20 (58-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bridges * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| A. Ellis III * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Ward * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J. Langford * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. McQuaid | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Winston | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Goins | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Roy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Van Dyk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Brown * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Newton * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Murphy * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| A. Lawrence II * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Izundu | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Vasiljevic | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Hernandez | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Miller Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Stowell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter