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2017-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 86.2% 13.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% -
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -20 (58-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 35 8-12 2-4 0-0 9 3 0 1 1 18 18 -
A. Ellis III * 30 3-9 0-5 1-1 7 1 0 0 3 7 3 -
N. Ward * 26 8-9 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 1 1 19 17 -
J. Langford * 24 5-10 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 13 6 -
L. Nairn Jr. * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 0 2 -
M. McQuaid 25 2-4 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 3 7 8 -
C. Winston 22 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 5 1 0 0 7 9 -
K. Goins 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
K. Ahrens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Roy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Van Dyk 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
C. George 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed * 37 5-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 12 6 -
B. Brown * 34 3-6 1-3 4-6 2 4 3 0 1 11 13 -
J. Newton * 34 5-12 0-1 6-7 2 2 3 0 1 16 10 -
K. Murphy * 26 0-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 1 -3 -
A. Lawrence II * 22 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
E. Izundu 18 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Vasiljevic 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Hernandez 9 4-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
M. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Miller Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Stowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter