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Mercer

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History
Coach: Bob Hoffman

2016 Team Stats (1 games)

71.0
PPG
61.0
Opp
+10.0
Margin
52.1%
FG%
42.9%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
38.0
RPG
20.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.7
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#181
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 864 (#247) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#163) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 948 (#245) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -1.2 (#186) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -5.4 (#246) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.559 (#142) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.426 (#191) AdjNet -2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.425 (#191) AdjNet -2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.479 (#181) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.433 (#222) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.396 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 32 More → 921 (#228) RD 122 | GP 32

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Allen Yellow Jackets W 96 - 70
2015-11-16 vs George Mason Patriots W 69 - 60
2015-11-19 vs Alabama State Hornets W 70 - 49
2015-11-23 @ Davidson Wildcats L 71 - 77
2015-11-26 @ Tulane Green Wave W 71 - 61
2015-11-27 @ App State Mountaineers W 71 - 70
2015-11-29 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 68 - 65
2015-12-02 vs Hiwassee Tigers W 82 - 47
2015-12-05 vs Alcorn State Braves W 68 - 43
2015-12-15 @ Auburn Tigers L 71 - 78
2015-12-19 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 69 - 66
2015-12-22 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 44 - 64
2015-12-30 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 76 - 73
2016-01-02 vs Samford Bulldogs W 69 - 50
2016-01-05 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 62 - 74
2016-01-09 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 91 - 80
2016-01-14 vs Furman Paladins W 69 - 65
2016-01-16 vs Wofford Terriers W 70 - 69
2016-01-21 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 63 - 65
2016-01-23 @ Western Carolina Catamounts - Postponed
2016-01-24 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 80 - 86
2016-01-28 vs VMI Keydets W 73 - 58
2016-01-30 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 81 - 67
2016-02-01 @ Samford Bulldogs W 85 - 70
2016-02-06 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 88 - 72
2016-02-08 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 66 - 72
2016-02-11 @ Wofford Terriers L 70 - 79
2016-02-13 @ Furman Paladins L 74 - 85
2016-02-18 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 65 - 72
2016-02-20 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 74 - 77
2016-02-25 @ VMI Keydets L 82 - 91
2016-02-28 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 65 - 69
2016-03-04 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 71 - 69
2016-03-05 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 65 - 81
2016-03-15 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 57 - 65

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jestin Lewis Jestin Lewis G 20 26.4 13.6 3.5 1.9 1.6 0.1 1.6 1.6 17.2 29 17 1.7 2.7 54.5 46.7 92.9 -0.19 346.0 65.2
Stephon Jelks Stephon Jelks F 29 29.1 11.8 8.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 1.4 0.9 21.0 94 27 3.5 5.0 44.4 30.8 50.0 2.3 546.2 51.9
Demetre Rivers Demetre Rivers G 29 23.8 10.2 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.7 0.4 12.6 65 27 2.4 4.1 38.5 28.6 100.0 1.75 1062.7 46.2
Phillip Leonard Phillip Leonard G 29 26.9 10.1 4.4 4.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 0.6 17.1 42 27 1.6 2.5 66.7 0 47.1 0.36 575.0 66.7
Jordan Strawberry Jordan Strawberry G 29 24.5 8.1 2.3 3.7 1.1 0.0 1.8 0.4 13.0 22 27 0.8 1.4 30.8 40.0 100.0 0.28 846.5 38.5
Desmond Ringer Desmond Ringer F 20 24.7 7.4 4.8 0.7 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 11.7 40 17 2.4 4.2 70.6 0 100.0 -0.69 345.8 70.6
Ethan Stair Ethan Stair G 29 23.6 6.4 4.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.4 0.5 10.7 -18 27 -0.7 -1.2 60.0 60.0 75.0 -2.65 557.9 70.0
Jibri Bryan Jibri Bryan G 6 10.8 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.5 5.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 83.3 - 168.4 0.0
Lawrence Brown Lawrence Brown G 29 12.4 3.2 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.1 5.7 -22 26 -0.8 -2.9 25.0 0 0 -2.69 1162.5 25.0
Andrew Fishler Andrew Fishler C 25 7.9 2.9 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 5.4 -17 23 -0.7 -4.0 50.0 0 50.0 -2.98 1267.4 50.0
Cory Kilby Cory Kilby F 29 8.3 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.2 -29 27 -1.1 -6.6 66.7 66.7 0.0 -0.66 566.8 83.3
Jaylen Stowe Jaylen Stowe G 14 5.4 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 -33 15 -2.2 -21.8 0 0 0.0 -5.68 1534.1 0
Tyre Moore Tyre Moore - 10 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 350.0 0.0
Niklas Ney Niklas Ney F 9 4.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.9 -1 9 -0.1 -1.6 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
James Bento James Bento F 22 5.3 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 -16 20 -0.8 -6.5 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG