Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +21 (70-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Torloft Thomas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Robert Ojeah * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chidozie Omile * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Corvon Butler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Ringer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Phillip Leonard * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jestin Lewis * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Fishler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Bento | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter