Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Livingston II * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jaire Grayer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Marquise Moore * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Shevon Thompson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kameron Murrell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Jenkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Danny Dixon | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Abram | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Ringer * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Phillip Leonard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jestin Lewis * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Fishler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Bento | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter