Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | +0.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +4 (69-65). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Croone * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 36 | - |
| Daniel Fowler * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Matt Rafferty * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Davis III * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kris Acox * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devin Sibley | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kendrec Ferrara | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Geoff Beans | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Larry Wideman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Leonard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jestin Lewis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| James Bento | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Niklas Ney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter