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Mercer

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

61.7
PPG
58.0
Opp
+3.7
Margin
40.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
32.3
RPG
15.7
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.7
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#132
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1122 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1096 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1110 (#41) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +2.1 (#136) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.9 (#79) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.704 (#69) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More โ†’ 0.576 (#141) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.576 (#140) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.4 More โ†’ 0.552 (#132) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 60.7 More โ†’ 0.634 (#56) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 60.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.631 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.646 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1076 (#116) RD 107 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Sewanee Tigers W 65 - 36
2012-11-12 vs Oglethorpe Stormy Petrels W 70 - 25
2012-11-16 @ George Mason Patriots L 49 - 52
2012-11-17 @ UIC Flames L 36 - 62
2012-11-19 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 71 - 74
2012-11-25 vs Furman Paladins W 73 - 46
2012-11-28 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 76
2012-12-02 @ Florida State Seminoles W 61 - 56
2012-12-05 @ Denver Pioneers L 40 - 69
2012-12-08 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 65 - 46
2012-12-16 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 63 - 53
2012-12-18 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 49 - 58
2012-12-22 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 66 - 59
2012-12-31 vs Stetson Hatters W 70 - 64
2013-01-02 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 77 - 70
2013-01-05 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 75 - 83
2013-01-10 @ North Florida Ospreys W 66 - 47
2013-01-12 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 47 - 49
2013-01-17 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 78 - 59
2013-01-19 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 82 - 74
2013-01-24 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 46 - 63
2013-01-26 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 71 - 65
2013-02-01 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 66 - 42
2013-02-07 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 67 - 64
2013-02-09 vs North Florida Ospreys W 64 - 44
2013-02-14 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 70 - 59
2013-02-16 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 71 - 54
2013-02-21 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 83 - 58
2013-02-23 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 63 - 46
2013-02-28 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 57 - 60
2013-03-02 @ Stetson Hatters W 77 - 65
2013-03-06 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 82 - 48
2013-03-08 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 72 - 64
2013-03-09 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 75 - 88
2013-03-20 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 75 - 67
2013-03-25 @ BYU Cougars L 71 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Travis Smith Travis Smith G 36 30.0 13.9 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.1 2.0 1.8 15.6 217 32 6.8 9.9 43.8 39.3 87.5 0.77 336.6 52.3
Langston Hall Langston Hall G 31 31.2 11.3 3.1 5.0 1.0 0.4 2.2 1.1 17.5 223 27 8.3 11.8 31.4 17.6 88.9 2.5 449.2 35.7
Jake Gollon Jake Gollon F 36 29.1 8.6 5.0 2.4 1.1 0.3 2.2 1.2 14.1 224 32 7.0 10.6 41.9 40.0 100.0 1.42 340.7 48.8
Bud Thomas Bud Thomas F 36 27.7 7.6 4.5 2.6 1.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 14.6 217 32 6.8 11.0 26.7 16.7 0.0 1.51 421.3 31.7
Daniel Coursey Daniel Coursey F 34 18.7 7.5 3.8 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.8 11.1 92 30 3.1 7.4 42.3 0 50.0 -0.86 431.9 42.3
Monty Brown Monty Brown C 36 11.7 4.3 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 6.2 65 32 2.0 7.7 37.1 0 63.6 0.16 194.5 37.1
Anthony White Anthony White G 35 10.6 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 4.9 9 32 0.3 1.3 33.3 33.3 100.0 -3.02 432.6 43.3
Jibri Bryan Jibri Bryan G 19 9.8 3.1 1.8 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 4.3 2 15 0.1 0.6 42.9 54.5 57.1 -3.88 172.7 64.3
T.J. Hallice T.J. Hallice F 36 14.9 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 5.8 70 32 2.2 6.5 43.8 0.0 44.4 0.13 275.6 43.8
Chris Smith Chris Smith G 36 9.9 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.3 3.8 -40 32 -1.2 -5.6 16.7 16.7 0 -6.2 341.7 20.8
Darious Moten Darious Moten F 30 5.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 2.3 -3 26 -0.1 -0.9 50.0 100.0 50.0 -1.88 245.9 56.2
Dylan Poston Dylan Poston G 14 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.8 14 13 1.1 11.6 36.4 30.0 100.0 -0.46 92.6 50.0
Kevin Canevari Kevin Canevari G 36 10.2 1.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.2 2.7 25 32 0.8 3.4 87.5 100.0 0 0.93 287.5 106.2
Lawrence Brown Lawrence Brown G 18 3.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.8 10 15 0.7 8.6 80.0 100.0 50.0 -1.32 81.4 90.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG