Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Northern Kentucky Norse | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✗ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Kentucky Norse +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bud Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jake Gollon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Travis Smith * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Anthony White | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Smith | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darious Moten | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Monty Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Poston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eshaunte Jones * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Ethan Faulkner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Chad Jackson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ernest Watson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| John Staley * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jack Flournoy | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Todd Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyler White | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Monaco | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nate Snodgrass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter