Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | -4.8 | ✗ (30.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (25.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames +26 (62-36). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bud Thomas * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Travis Smith * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jake Gollon * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Monty Brown * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darious Moten | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Coursey | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony White Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jibri Bryan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Poston | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Humes * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Barnes * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marc Brown * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joey Miller | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Will Simonton | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ahman Fells | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jay Parker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ngijol Songolo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Snider | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Kelley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter