🐻⬇️🏀

Mercer

Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

61.7
PPG
59.3
Opp
+6.6
Margin
40.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
32.3
RPG
15.7
APG
13.7
TO
73.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1254 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1275 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1130 (#32) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +22.2 (#181) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +15.7 (#82) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.4 More → 0.669 (#60) NetEff +5.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.9 More → 0.662 (#58) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 59.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.791 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 36 More → 1130 (#103) RD 106 | GP 36

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Sewanee Tigers W 65 - 36
2012-11-12 vs Oglethorpe Stormy Petrels W 70 - 25
2012-11-16 @ George Mason Patriots L 49 - 52
2012-11-17 @ UIC Flames L 36 - 62
2012-11-19 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 71 - 74
2012-11-25 vs Furman Paladins W 73 - 46
2012-11-28 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 76
2012-12-02 @ Florida State Seminoles W 61 - 56
2012-12-05 @ Denver Pioneers L 40 - 69
2012-12-08 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 65 - 46
2012-12-16 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 63 - 53
2012-12-18 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 49 - 58
2012-12-22 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 66 - 59
2012-12-31 vs Stetson Hatters W 70 - 64
2013-01-02 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 77 - 70
2013-01-05 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 75 - 83
2013-01-10 @ North Florida Ospreys W 66 - 47
2013-01-12 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 47 - 49
2013-01-17 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 78 - 59
2013-01-19 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 82 - 74
2013-01-24 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 46 - 63
2013-01-26 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 71 - 65
2013-02-01 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 66 - 42
2013-02-07 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 67 - 64
2013-02-09 vs North Florida Ospreys W 64 - 44
2013-02-14 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 70 - 59
2013-02-16 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 71 - 54
2013-02-21 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 83 - 58
2013-02-23 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 63 - 46
2013-02-28 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 57 - 60
2013-03-02 @ Stetson Hatters W 77 - 65
2013-03-06 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 82 - 48
2013-03-08 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 72 - 64
2013-03-09 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 75 - 88
2013-03-20 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 75 - 67
2013-03-25 @ BYU Cougars L 71 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Smith T. Smith G 36 30.0 13.9 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.1 2.0 1.8 15.6 375 11.7 15.5 43.8 39.3 87.5 1.66 336.6 52.3
L. Hall L. Hall G 31 31.2 11.3 3.1 5.0 1.0 0.4 2.2 1.1 17.5 204 6.6 9.8 31.4 17.6 88.9 1.07 449.2 35.7
J. Gollon J. Gollon F 36 29.1 8.6 5.0 2.4 1.1 0.3 2.2 1.2 14.1 159 4.4 6.8 41.9 40.0 100.0 0.49 340.7 48.8
B. Thomas B. Thomas F 36 27.7 7.6 4.5 2.6 1.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 14.6 219 6.1 10.5 26.7 16.7 0.0 1.64 421.3 31.7
D. Coursey D. Coursey F 34 18.7 7.5 3.8 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.8 11.1 73 2.1 5.3 42.3 0 50.0 0.01 431.9 42.3
M. Brown M. Brown C 36 11.7 4.3 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 6.2 74 2.1 6.0 37.1 0 63.6 1.72 194.5 37.1
A. White Jr. A. White Jr. G 35 10.6 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 4.9 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 0.19 432.6 43.3
J. Bryan J. Bryan G 19 9.8 3.1 1.8 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 4.3 50 2.6 7.8 42.9 54.5 57.1 0.08 172.7 64.3
T.J. Hallice T.J. Hallice F 36 14.9 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 5.8 105 2.9 6.8 43.8 0.0 44.4 0.57 275.6 43.8
C. Smith C. Smith G 36 9.9 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.3 3.8 -45 -1.2 -4.0 16.7 16.7 0 0.03 341.7 20.8
D. Moten D. Moten F 30 5.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 2.3 16 0.5 2.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.36 245.9 56.2
D. Poston D. Poston G 14 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.8 39 2.4 20.0 36.4 30.0 100.0 0.55 92.6 50.0
K. Canevari K. Canevari G 36 10.2 1.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.2 2.7 50 1.4 4.7 87.5 100.0 0 0.35 287.5 106.2
L. Brown L. Brown G 18 3.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.8 31 1.5 11.5 80.0 100.0 50.0 2.3 81.4 90.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG