Minnesota Lynx
2019 Team Stats (35 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1015 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1013 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1015 (#6) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.0 (#5) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.9 (#5) | HCA +4.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.578 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.573 (#4) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.574 (#4) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.545 (#5) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.558 (#5) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.550 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.553 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1011 (#7) | RD 140 | GP 35 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odyssey Sims
|
G | 37 | 31.3 | 14.5 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 13.2 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 42.2 | 29.4 | 79.3 | - | 49.7 | 45.3 |
Sylvia Fowles
|
Guard | 37 | 29.1 | 13.8 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 14.4 | - | - | - | - | 59.2 | 0 | 70.3 | - | 61.4 | 59.2 |
Napheesa Collier
|
F | 37 | 32.8 | 12.8 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 9.7 | 12.9 | - | - | - | - | 49.4 | 34.8 | 78.9 | - | 58.0 | 53.8 |
M. Okur
|
- | 37 | 26.5 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 7.1 | - | - | - | - | 43.0 | 20.8 | 85.1 | - | 49.1 | 44.5 |
Damiris Dantas
|
F | 29 | 25.1 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 8.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 37.3 | 76.7 | - | 54.9 | 53.0 |
L. Brown
|
G | 36 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 37.2 | 80.0 | - | 53.1 | 50.2 |
Temi Fagbenle
|
C | 20 | 14.8 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 3.4 | - | - | - | - | 50.5 | 14.3 | 72.2 | - | 53.6 | 51.1 |
Stephanie Talbot
|
F | 34 | 17.0 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.3 | 33.0 | 87.1 | - | 51.6 | 47.5 |
Jessica Shepard
|
F | 8 | 18.5 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 15.4 | 72.7 | - | 43.0 | 38.6 |
S. Augustus
|
G | 15 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.7 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 30.6 | 20.0 | 80.0 | - | 33.8 | 32.4 |
A. Taylor
|
F | 8 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 50.7 | 45.5 |
K. Christmas-Kelly
|
F | 8 | 12.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 30.4 | 28.6 | 60.0 | - | 41.7 | 39.1 |
Alaina Coates
|
C | 14 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.4 | 0 | 62.5 | - | 50.7 | 48.4 |
T. Emery
|
- | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
J. Alleyne
|
C | 7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 38.3 | 40.0 |
S. Ting
|
F | 7 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 27.9 | 23.1 |
Bridget Carleton
|
F | 4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
K. Bell
|
- | 5 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
E. Larkins
|
F | 2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2019 Shot Zones
2490 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Odyssey SimsSylvia FowlesM. OkurDamiris DantasL. BrownStephanie Talbot
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 493-796 | 61.9 | 986 | Sylvia Fowles 31% (304 pts) | Napheesa Collier 18% (174 pts) | Sylvia Fowles 25% (76 misses) | M. Okur 19% (59 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 185-447 | 41.4 | 370 | Odyssey Sims 34% (126 pts) | Napheesa Collier 19% (70 pts) | Odyssey Sims 28% (74 misses) | Napheesa Collier 15% (40 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 110-260 | 42.3 | 220 | M. Okur 21% (46 pts) | Odyssey Sims 16% (36 pts) | Odyssey Sims 25% (38 misses) | M. Okur 19% (29 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 44-118 | 37.3 | 88 | M. Okur 25% (22 pts) | Odyssey Sims 18% (16 pts) | Odyssey Sims 35% (26 misses) | M. Okur 15% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 76-216 | 35.2 | 152 | Sylvia Fowles 21% (32 pts) | Odyssey Sims 20% (30 pts) | Odyssey Sims 16% (22 misses) | M. Okur 15% (21 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 8-27 | 29.6 | 24 | Stephanie Talbot 38% (9 pts) | Odyssey Sims 25% (6 pts) | M. Okur 32% (6 misses) | Odyssey Sims 21% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | Stephanie Talbot 50% (6 pts) | L. Brown 25% (3 pts) | M. Okur 50% (3 misses) | L. Brown 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 88-267 | 33.0 | 264 | Damiris Dantas 23% (60 pts) | L. Brown 22% (57 pts) | L. Brown 21% (38 misses) | Damiris Dantas 18% (32 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 41-132 | 31.1 | 123 | Damiris Dantas 34% (42 pts) | L. Brown 22% (27 pts) | Damiris Dantas 29% (26 misses) | Odyssey Sims 18% (16 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 75-217 | 34.6 | 225 | L. Brown 35% (78 pts) | Napheesa Collier 21% (48 pts) | L. Brown 26% (37 misses) | Napheesa Collier 20% (28 misses) |