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Minnesota Lynx

Also known as: Minnesota Lynx
Program History

2019 Team Stats (35 games)

78.3
PPG
76.1
Opp
+2.1
Margin
45.1%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
77.9%
FT%
34.1
RPG
20.1
APG
15.4
TO
80.2
Est. poss./game
76.3
Adj PPG
74.3
Adj Opp PPG
#5
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1015 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1013 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 1015 (#6) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ +2.0 (#5) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +2.9 (#5) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.578 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.573 (#4) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.574 (#4) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 74.3 More โ†’ 0.545 (#5) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2 More โ†’ 0.558 (#5) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.550 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.553 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1011 (#7) RD 140 | GP 35

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-05-25 vs Chicago Sky W 89 - 71
2019-05-29 vs Seattle Storm W 72 - 61
2019-06-01 @ Dallas Wings W 70 - 67
2019-06-04 @ Seattle Storm L 77 - 84
2019-06-06 vs Phoenix Mercury W 58 - 56
2019-06-08 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 85 - 89
2019-06-12 @ New York Liberty L 69 - 75
2019-06-14 vs Connecticut Sun L 81 - 85
2019-06-16 vs Las Vegas Aces L 75 - 80
2019-06-22 vs New York Liberty W 92 - 83
2019-06-25 @ Indiana Fever W 78 - 74
2019-06-30 @ Dallas Wings L 86 - 89
2019-07-02 vs Atlanta Dream W 85 - 68
2019-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun W 74 - 71
2019-07-10 @ Chicago Sky W 73 - 72
2019-07-12 @ Atlanta Dream L 53 - 60
2019-07-14 vs Phoenix Mercury W 75 - 62
2019-07-17 vs Seattle Storm L 79 - 90
2019-07-21 @ Las Vegas Aces L 74 - 79
2019-07-24 vs Washington Mystics L 71 - 79
2019-08-03 @ Indiana Fever L 75 - 86
2019-08-06 @ Atlanta Dream W 85 - 69
2019-08-09 vs Connecticut Sun W 89 - 57
2019-08-11 @ Washington Mystics L 78 - 101
2019-08-13 @ New York Liberty W 89 - 73
2019-08-16 vs Washington Mystics L 79 - 86
2019-08-18 @ Seattle Storm L 74 - 82
2019-08-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71 - 81
2019-08-22 vs Dallas Wings W 86 - 70
2019-08-25 vs Las Vegas Aces W 98 - 77
2019-08-27 vs Chicago Sky W 93 - 85
2019-09-01 vs Indiana Fever W 81 - 73
2019-09-06 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83 - 69
2019-09-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 68 - 77
2019-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 74 - 84

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Odyssey Sims Odyssey Sims G 37 31.3 14.5 3.4 5.4 1.4 0.1 3.2 13.2 8.5 - - - - 42.2 29.4 79.3 - 49.7 45.3
Sylvia Fowles Sylvia Fowles Guard 37 29.1 13.8 8.9 1.5 0.9 1.4 2.0 10.0 14.4 - - - - 59.2 0 70.3 - 61.4 59.2
Napheesa Collier Napheesa Collier F 37 32.8 12.8 6.5 2.5 1.9 0.9 1.9 9.7 12.9 - - - - 49.4 34.8 78.9 - 58.0 53.8
M. Okur M. Okur - 37 26.5 9.8 3.5 3.6 1.2 0.2 2.1 9.1 7.1 - - - - 43.0 20.8 85.1 - 49.1 44.5
Damiris Dantas Damiris Dantas F 29 25.1 9.2 4.4 3.1 0.7 0.5 1.8 7.9 8.2 - - - - 43.5 37.3 76.7 - 54.9 53.0
L. Brown L. Brown G 36 18.4 7.4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.2 6.5 3.7 - - - - 38.5 37.2 80.0 - 53.1 50.2
Temi Fagbenle Temi Fagbenle C 20 14.8 5.3 2.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 1.6 4.5 3.4 - - - - 50.5 14.3 72.2 - 53.6 51.1
Stephanie Talbot Stephanie Talbot F 34 17.0 5.2 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.3 1.3 4.6 4.0 - - - - 37.3 33.0 87.1 - 51.6 47.5
Jessica Shepard Jessica Shepard F 8 18.5 5.2 5.8 3.0 0.4 0.1 2.0 5.5 7.0 - - - - 36.4 15.4 72.7 - 43.0 38.6
S. Augustus S. Augustus G 15 13.9 3.9 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 1.0 5.7 -0.3 - - - - 30.6 20.0 80.0 - 33.8 32.4
A. Taylor A. Taylor F 8 8.1 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.8 2.6 - - - - 45.5 0.0 83.3 - 50.7 45.5
K. Christmas-Kelly K. Christmas-Kelly F 8 12.0 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.9 1.4 - - - - 30.4 28.6 60.0 - 41.7 39.1
Alaina Coates Alaina Coates C 14 6.6 2.5 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.2 2.9 - - - - 48.4 0 62.5 - 50.7 48.4
T. Emery T. Emery - 1 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
J. Alleyne J. Alleyne C 7 3.7 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 1.7 - - - - 40.0 0 25.0 - 38.3 40.0
S. Ting S. Ting F 7 5.1 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.3 - - - - 23.1 0.0 66.7 - 27.9 23.1
Bridget Carleton Bridget Carleton F 4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
K. Bell K. Bell - 5 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
E. Larkins E. Larkins F 2 6.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2019 Shot Zones

2490 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Fowles31% Sims34% Okur21% Okur25% Fowles21% Talbot38% Talbot50% Dantas23% Dantas34% Brown35%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Fowles25% Sims28% Sims25% Sims35% Sims16% Okur32% Okur50% Brown21% Dantas29% Brown26%
Misses: who misses most here

Odyssey SimsSylvia FowlesM. OkurDamiris DantasL. BrownStephanie Talbot

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 493-796 61.9 986 Sylvia Fowles 31% (304 pts) Napheesa Collier 18% (174 pts) Sylvia Fowles 25% (76 misses) M. Okur 19% (59 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 185-447 41.4 370 Odyssey Sims 34% (126 pts) Napheesa Collier 19% (70 pts) Odyssey Sims 28% (74 misses) Napheesa Collier 15% (40 misses)
Mid-range left 110-260 42.3 220 M. Okur 21% (46 pts) Odyssey Sims 16% (36 pts) Odyssey Sims 25% (38 misses) M. Okur 19% (29 misses)
Mid-range center 44-118 37.3 88 M. Okur 25% (22 pts) Odyssey Sims 18% (16 pts) Odyssey Sims 35% (26 misses) M. Okur 15% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 76-216 35.2 152 Sylvia Fowles 21% (32 pts) Odyssey Sims 20% (30 pts) Odyssey Sims 16% (22 misses) M. Okur 15% (21 misses)
Left corner 3 8-27 29.6 24 Stephanie Talbot 38% (9 pts) Odyssey Sims 25% (6 pts) M. Okur 32% (6 misses) Odyssey Sims 21% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 4-10 40.0 12 Stephanie Talbot 50% (6 pts) L. Brown 25% (3 pts) M. Okur 50% (3 misses) L. Brown 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 88-267 33.0 264 Damiris Dantas 23% (60 pts) L. Brown 22% (57 pts) L. Brown 21% (38 misses) Damiris Dantas 18% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 center 41-132 31.1 123 Damiris Dantas 34% (42 pts) L. Brown 22% (27 pts) Damiris Dantas 29% (26 misses) Odyssey Sims 18% (16 misses)
Above-break 3 right 75-217 34.6 225 L. Brown 35% (78 pts) Napheesa Collier 21% (48 pts) L. Brown 26% (37 misses) Napheesa Collier 20% (28 misses)