Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 36 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Carson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Little | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 35 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| O. Sims | 35 | 7-20 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -1 | - |
| S. Fowles | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Talbot | 28 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Robinson | 28 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Bell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter