Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 37 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| O. Sims | 37 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| D. Dantas | 35 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Fowles | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| S. Augustus | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Brown | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Robinson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Carleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 21 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. January | 19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Turner | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Y. Turner | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter