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Milwaukee Bucks

Also known as: Milwaukee Bucks
Program History

2004 Team Stats (79 games)

98.1
PPG
96.9
Opp
+1.2
Margin
44.9%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
77.1%
FT%
42.0
RPG
23.0
APG
13.0
TO
94.1
Est. poss./game
96.1
Adj PPG
96.0
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 894 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 981 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 972 (#20) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +0.1 (#13) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ -0.7 (#17) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.508 (#13) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.3 More โ†’ 0.508 (#13) NetEff +0.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More โ†’ 0.504 (#12) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More โ†’ 0.504 (#12) AdjNet +0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.1 | AdjD 96.0 More โ†’ 0.502 (#13) AdjO 96.1 | AdjD 96.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 97.0 More โ†’ 0.484 (#17) AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 97.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.460 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.456 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 197 | GP 87 More โ†’ 963 (#20) RD 197 | GP 87

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 89 - 95
2003-10-31 @ Indiana Pacers W 93 - 79
2003-11-01 vs Chicago Bulls W 98 - 68
2003-11-04 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2003-11-05 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 90
2003-11-07 @ Detroit Pistons L 99 - 105
2003-11-08 vs New York Knicks W 90 - 87
2003-11-12 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 99 - 104
2003-11-15 vs Utah Jazz W 100 - 95
2003-11-18 vs Atlanta Hawks L 93 - 101
2003-11-19 @ Denver Nuggets L 86 - 94
2003-11-21 @ Utah Jazz L 90 - 99
2003-11-23 @ Toronto Raptors W 82 - 62
2003-11-25 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 95 - 91
2003-11-28 @ Boston Celtics L 96 - 106
2003-11-29 vs Boston Celtics W 100 - 94
2003-12-01 @ Chicago Bulls L 87 - 97
2003-12-02 @ Atlanta Hawks W 106 - 94
2003-12-05 @ Brooklyn Nets L 86 - 93
2003-12-06 vs Washington Wizards L 109 - 114
2003-12-08 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 85 - 91
2003-12-10 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2003-12-12 vs Chicago Bulls W 109 - 95
2003-12-14 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 102 - 108
2003-12-16 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 106 - 99
2003-12-17 @ LA Clippers L 83 - 93
2003-12-20 vs Brooklyn Nets W 92 - 87
2003-12-23 vs Detroit Pistons W 83 - 78
2003-12-26 vs Indiana Pacers W 101 - 96
2003-12-28 @ San Antonio Spurs L 74 - 89
2003-12-30 @ Dallas Mavericks L 92 - 101
2004-01-02 vs Dallas Mavericks W 109 - 101
2004-01-04 @ Washington Wizards W 100 - 94
2004-01-05 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 88 - 76
2004-01-07 vs Phoenix Suns W 95 - 87
2004-01-09 vs Miami Heat W 103 - 94
2004-01-10 @ New York Knicks L 88 - 94
2004-01-13 vs Boston Celtics W 111 - 103
2004-01-15 vs Brooklyn Nets W 86 - 83
2004-01-17 vs Detroit Pistons L 94 - 99
2004-01-19 @ Orlando Magic L 99 - 106
2004-01-21 vs Orlando Magic W 113 - 102
2004-01-23 vs Toronto Raptors W 98 - 86
2004-01-26 vs San Antonio Spurs W 93 - 92
2004-01-28 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 100 - 101
2004-01-30 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 101 - 95
2004-01-31 @ Atlanta Hawks L 83 - 93
2004-02-04 @ Houston Rockets L 89 - 103
2004-02-06 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 85 - 105
2004-02-07 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 107 - 97
2004-02-10 vs Sacramento Kings L 117 - 124
2004-02-17 vs Orlando Magic W 127 - 104
2004-02-18 @ Detroit Pistons L 98 - 102
2004-02-21 vs LA Clippers L 103 - 105
2004-02-22 @ Washington Wizards W 113 - 85
2004-02-24 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 102 - 108
2004-02-25 @ Boston Celtics W 106 - 104
2004-02-27 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 106 - 104
2004-02-29 vs Miami Heat W 108 - 104
2004-03-03 @ Orlando Magic W 105 - 97
2004-03-04 @ Miami Heat L 98 - 104
2004-03-06 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 97 - 106
2004-03-08 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 92 - 97
2004-03-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 94 - 80
2004-03-12 vs Denver Nuggets L 111 - 117
2004-03-14 vs New York Knicks L 100 - 103
2004-03-16 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 99 - 100
2004-03-20 @ Phoenix Suns L 111 - 123
2004-03-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 103 - 104
2004-03-23 @ Sacramento Kings W 112 - 101
2004-03-24 @ Golden State Warriors L 89 - 98
2004-03-26 @ Chicago Bulls W 115 - 105
2004-03-28 vs Houston Rockets L 107 - 111
2004-03-30 vs Indiana Pacers W 95 - 86
2004-03-31 @ Indiana Pacers L 78 - 111
2004-04-02 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 107 - 89
2004-04-04 @ Toronto Raptors W 90 - 83
2004-04-06 @ Brooklyn Nets W 103 - 98
2004-04-07 vs Washington Wizards W 116 - 107
2004-04-10 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2004-04-12 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 89 - 93
2004-04-14 vs Toronto Raptors L 87 - 89
2004-04-18 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2004-04-21 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2004-04-24 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2004-04-26 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2004-04-29 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael Redd G 79 36.9 21.4 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.4 17.4 10.8 - - - - 43.9 34.8 86.6 - 54.2 48.3
Keith Van Horn G 24 31.0 16.2 6.4 1.5 0.7 0.6 2.0 11.9 11.4 - - - - 47.6 45.7 94.4 - 59.7 53.1
Desmond Mason G 79 30.7 14.5 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 1.8 10.6 9.3 - - - - 47.3 23.7 76.7 - 55.3 47.9
Tim Thomas G 41 31.9 14.0 4.7 2.1 1.0 0.4 1.8 12.1 8.4 - - - - 44.8 37.3 74.6 - 52.8 49.6
Joe Smith G 73 29.4 10.9 8.3 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.1 9.2 11.9 - - - - 44.4 20.0 85.3 - 51.4 44.5
Brian Skinner G 55 28.0 10.5 7.3 0.9 0.5 1.1 1.4 9.2 9.8 - - - - 49.6 0 56.7 - 51.2 49.6
Toni Kukoc G 71 20.9 8.5 3.7 2.8 0.8 0.3 1.5 6.9 7.6 - - - - 41.7 28.1 72.9 - 51.8 46.2
Damon Jones G 79 24.5 7.1 2.1 5.8 0.4 0.1 1.3 6.4 7.8 - - - - 40.4 36.8 76.4 - 52.1 49.9
T.J. Ford G 53 26.7 7.1 3.2 6.5 1.1 0.1 2.5 7.1 8.3 - - - - 38.9 23.8 81.7 - 44.8 39.6
Brevin Knight G 20 20.3 6.2 2.4 4.8 1.4 0.0 1.1 5.0 8.4 - - - - 45.5 33.3 78.9 - 52.2 46.0
Dan Gadzuric G 72 16.7 5.6 4.6 0.4 0.6 1.3 0.6 4.6 7.3 - - - - 52.4 0.0 48.7 - 52.8 52.4
Erick Strickland G 42 13.0 5.3 1.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 1.2 4.4 4.0 - - - - 41.6 46.0 85.1 - 54.2 49.5
Daniel Santiago G 52 12.8 4.0 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 2.9 4.1 - - - - 47.7 0 67.8 - 53.7 47.7
Marcus Haislip G 30 8.7 3.0 1.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.4 2.7 - - - - 47.9 50.0 72.0 - 53.0 48.6
Dan Langhi - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Joel Przybilla F 5 6.8 0.2 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG