Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 45 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 44 | 9-24 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 43 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 4-6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Wallace | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Thomas * | 36 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter