Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 40 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Haislip * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 43 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 25 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter