Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 46 | 9-22 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 19 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 9-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Haislip * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter