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LSU

Also known as: LSU Tigers, LSU
Program History

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

73.0
PPG
81.2
Opp
-8.2
Margin
45.6%
FG%
21.8%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
34.6
RPG
10.6
APG
14.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.7
Adj PPG
78.4
Adj Opp PPG
#180
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 893 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 965 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 869 (#327) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -0.0 (#168) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -1.1 (#182) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.233 (#304) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.553 (#141) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.9 More โ†’ 0.554 (#140) AdjNet +1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 78.4 More โ†’ 0.483 (#180) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 78.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 80.6 More โ†’ 0.377 (#286) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 80.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.412 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.391 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 31 More โ†’ 918 (#225) RD 135 | GP 31

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 vs Wofford Terriers W 91 - 69
2016-11-15 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 78 - 61
2016-11-18 vs North Florida Ospreys W 78 - 70
2016-11-23 @ Wichita State Shockers L 47 - 82
2016-11-24 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 66 - 60
2016-11-25 @ VCU Rams L 74 - 85
2016-11-29 vs Houston Cougars W 84 - 65
2016-12-13 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 70 - 66
2016-12-17 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 88 - 80
2016-12-19 vs Charleston Cougars W 75 - 65
2016-12-22 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 76 - 110
2016-12-29 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 89 - 96
2017-01-04 @ Missouri Tigers W 88 - 77
2017-01-07 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs L 78 - 95
2017-01-11 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 62 - 92
2017-01-14 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 66 - 81
2017-01-18 @ Auburn Tigers L 74 - 78
2017-01-21 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 86 - 99
2017-01-25 vs Florida Gators L 71 - 106
2017-01-28 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 64 - 77
2017-02-01 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 63 - 88
2017-02-04 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 73 - 85
2017-02-07 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 85 - 92
2017-02-11 vs Arkansas Razorbacks L 70 - 78
2017-02-14 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 76 - 96
2017-02-18 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 72 - 90
2017-02-21 vs Auburn Tigers L 75 - 98
2017-02-25 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 80 - 82
2017-03-01 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 92 - 82
2017-03-04 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 76 - 88
2017-03-08 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 52 - 79

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antonio Blakeney Antonio Blakeney - 18 32.7 16.9 4.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.8 7.5 14.9 -147 28 -5.2 -7.0 40.7 35.0 83.3 0.64 101.1 45.9
Brandon Sampson Brandon Sampson G 18 28.5 12.3 3.4 1.3 0.5 0.3 2.1 3.9 11.8 -69 28 -2.5 -3.9 47.1 31.2 77.8 1.41 141.8 54.3
Duop Reath Duop Reath - 18 26.5 11.4 4.5 0.9 0.6 1.5 1.8 4.3 12.8 -114 28 -4.1 -6.4 48.1 23.1 78.9 2.26 120.1 50.0
Craig Victor Craig Victor F 4 20.8 10.8 6.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.8 3.5 15.0 - - - - 42.9 0 100.0 - 148.9 42.9
Aaron Epps Aaron Epps F 18 17.7 7.7 5.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.3 3.1 9.4 -91 27 -3.4 -8.1 58.2 40.0 66.7 -0.45 109.7 63.6
Skylar Mays Skylar Mays - 18 22.8 7.4 2.4 4.0 1.3 0.1 2.4 4.1 8.7 -148 28 -5.3 -9.8 35.1 16.0 70.6 -2.87 82.2 37.8
Wayde Sims Wayde Sims F 18 19.3 6.3 4.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.1 2.7 8.2 -68 28 -2.4 -5.7 61.2 36.4 66.7 1.85 107.6 65.3
Jalyn Patterson Jalyn Patterson G 18 21.8 5.6 2.9 2.7 1.4 0.1 1.7 2.9 8.1 -135 28 -4.8 -10.0 40.4 25.0 100.0 -2.57 92.4 47.1
Elbert Robinson Elbert Robinson C 14 7.0 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 3.6 -39 19 -2.1 -15.6 66.7 0 50.0 -3.19 103.6 66.7
Brandon Eddlestone Brandon Eddlestone F 10 8.5 1.6 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.8 -29 11 -2.6 -14.0 42.9 66.7 50.0 -2.47 101.5 57.1
Branden Jenkins Branden Jenkins G 9 7.9 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.4 -85 16 -5.3 -27.0 40.0 66.7 100.0 -3.93 57.4 50.0
Kieran Hayward Kieran Hayward G 17 7.4 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.3 -9 23 -0.4 -2.1 11.8 15.4 50.0 0.67 36.4 17.6
Brian Bridgewater Brian Bridgewater F 14 3.8 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 -35 22 -1.6 -16.9 16.7 0 0 -1.4 50.0 16.7
Marshall Graves Marshall Graves G 11 2.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 -19 12 -1.6 -18.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 -2.65 31.6 0.0
Reed Vial Reed Vial G 5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 -2 5 -0.4 -15.1 0 0 0 -1.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG