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2017-02-07

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (92-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Blakeney * 36 12-19 4-7 3-4 1 5 1 0 1 31 18 -
B. Sampson * 30 6-12 1-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 5 17 3 -
D. Reath * 24 3-8 0-2 2-3 1 0 1 1 0 8 3 -
W. Sims * 19 2-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
S. Mays * 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 5 4 -
J. Patterson 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 6 11 -
A. Epps 17 4-6 1-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
B. Jenkins 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Bridgewater 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Eddlestone 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Robinson III 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
K. Hayward 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Graves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Monk * 36 8-15 4-8 3-4 0 2 2 0 2 23 10 -
D. Fox * 33 7-13 1-2 1-1 4 6 3 0 3 16 13 -
I. Briscoe * 33 4-9 1-3 5-6 6 3 1 0 3 14 12 -
W. Gabriel * 31 7-11 3-6 6-7 8 2 0 0 1 23 21 -
B. Adebayo * 24 2-3 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 1 1 8 14 -
D. Hawkins 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
D. Willis 14 0-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
I. Humphries 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
M. Mulder 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Wynyard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter