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2017-03-08

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 6.2% 93.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +27 (79-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Blakeney * 30 3-10 0-4 5-6 5 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
B. Sampson * 29 2-7 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
D. Reath * 26 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 6 2 -
S. Mays * 26 5-10 1-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 5 13 6 -
W. Sims * 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
A. Epps 21 2-4 0-1 4-6 6 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
J. Patterson 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 5 0 -1 -
B. Eddlestone 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Hayward 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Jenkins 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
B. Bridgewater 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Graves 2 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Vial 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Weatherspoon * 31 6-10 0-3 7-7 2 0 2 0 2 19 11 -
A. Holman * 24 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 3 2 6 9 -
I.J. Ready * 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 1 6 -
M. Kegler * 18 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
S. Herard * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
X. Stapleton 25 4-7 3-5 2-2 6 1 2 0 2 13 13 -
L. Peters 21 4-9 2-4 0-0 4 6 3 0 0 10 14 -
T. Carter 20 7-14 4-10 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 18 7 -
E.J. Datcher 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Wright 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
N. Singleton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Davis 1 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
M. Washington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter