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2017-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 โœ“ (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -23 (75-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danjel Purifoy * 30 5-11 3-6 2-2 7 0 2 0 0 15 13 -
Mustapha Heron * 27 4-6 0-2 2-2 9 1 0 0 1 10 13 -
Jared Harper * 19 2-7 1-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
Bryce Brown * 19 5-9 5-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 15 7 -
Austin Wiley * 16 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 5 9 4 -
T.J. Lang 23 2-3 2-3 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
T.J. Dunans 22 5-9 1-2 0-0 7 3 2 0 3 11 11 -
Anfernee McLemore 21 1-3 0-0 7-8 5 0 1 3 1 9 14 -
Ronnie Johnson 20 6-11 2-5 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 17 12 -
Patrick Keim 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
LaRon Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cole Blackstock 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Blakeney * 38 8-17 3-6 10-11 6 2 3 0 3 29 20 -
Duop Reath * 34 4-13 0-3 1-1 5 1 0 0 4 9 -2 -
Brandon Sampson * 33 3-6 1-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 3 7 2 -
Skylar Mays * 22 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Aaron Epps * 12 1-1 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
Wayde Sims 21 2-6 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
Brandon Eddlestone 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Jalyn Patterson 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 5 3 -
Branden Jenkins 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
Marshall Graves 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kieran Hayward 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Bridgewater 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter