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Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2014 Team Stats (7 games)

65.0
PPG
74.7
Opp
-9.7
Margin
39.4%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
33.6
RPG
11.1
APG
13.9
TO
79.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1319 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1274 (#156) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +23.1 (#168) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.360 (#54) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#63) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.520 (#64) AdjNet +0.7

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ VCU Rams L 58 - 96
2013-11-27 @ Vermont Catamounts L 76 - 87
2013-11-30 @ San Francisco Dons W 90 - 76
2013-12-07 vs Dayton Flyers W 81 - 75
2014-01-08 @ Wichita State Shockers L 47 - 66
2014-01-22 vs Wichita State Shockers L 55 - 70
2014-03-07 @ Missouri State Bears L 48 - 53

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Lofton Z. Lofton G 7 26.1 14.4 3.0 1.6 1.0 0.1 1.7 13.9 4.6 - - - 34.0 26.0 81.5 - 46.4 40.7
D. Knight D. Knight G 7 27.7 10.3 4.7 2.7 1.6 0.0 2.3 11.1 5.9 - - - 28.2 17.1 78.6 - 39.9 32.1
B. Hunter B. Hunter G 7 25.9 10.1 2.7 1.9 1.6 0.0 1.9 5.9 8.6 - - - 51.2 42.9 85.2 - 67.1 58.5
P. Lee P. Lee G 7 25.6 6.1 2.0 2.3 2.0 0.1 2.0 5.9 4.7 - - - 39.0 28.6 55.6 - 47.8 46.3
N. Zeisloft N. Zeisloft G 7 25.0 6.0 4.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.3 5.6 3.9 - - - 38.5 34.3 0 - 53.8 53.8
M. Middlebrooks M. Middlebrooks F 1 14.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
R. Lynch R. Lynch C 7 20.0 5.7 4.1 0.4 0.3 2.1 2.0 4.6 6.1 - - - 53.1 0 40.0 - 51.8 53.1
J. Jones J. Jones F 6 19.3 5.3 4.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 4.2 6.7 28 2.3 3.0 52.0 0 50.0 1.3 52.8 52.0
K. Keane K. Keane G 7 13.3 3.1 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2.3 2.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 44.4 - 55.1 56.2
J. Samuel J. Samuel F 5 7.4 2.4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 2.6 - - - 55.6 33.3 0 - 66.7 66.7
T. Wills T. Wills G 7 12.6 2.0 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.6 1.6 - - - 27.8 0.0 66.7 - 33.9 27.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG