Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +5 (53-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hunter * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| R. Lynch * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| P. Lee * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Knight * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Zeisloft * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Lofton | 30 | 9-19 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| T. Wills | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Samuel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Keane | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ruder * | 34 | 6-13 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| K. Pickens * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| D. Williams * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Gulley * | 26 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. McCullough * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Kirk | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Thomas | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Mvouika | 14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Scheer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Thurman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter