Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Bush | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. VanVleet * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Baker * | 34 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Cotton * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Early * | 28 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| C. Lufile * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Carter | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Wessel | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Wiggins | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Coleby | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hunter * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Lee * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Zeisloft * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Z. Lofton * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Lynch * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Knight | 29 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Wills | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Keane | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter