Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -14 (76-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Zeisloft * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Zach Lofton * | 29 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| John Jones * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Hunter | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tony Wills | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tao Xu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Dickerson * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Matt Glover * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 31 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tim Derksen * | 24 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Avry Holmes * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Kruize Pinkins | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Chris Adams | 22 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Corey Hilliard | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter