Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -14 (76-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Zeisloft * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Z. Lofton * | 29 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| D. Knight * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| P. Lee * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Jones * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Lynch | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Hunter | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Keane | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Wills | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Samuel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Xu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Dickerson * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Glover * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Tollefsen * | 31 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Derksen * | 24 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. Holmes * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| K. Pinkins | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Adams | 22 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| C. Hilliard | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Christiansen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter