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2013-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 (25.6 off)

Actual: VCU Rams +38 (96-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones * 23 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
Z. Lofton * 22 3-11 1-6 5-6 2 0 0 0 3 12 0 -
D. Knight * 20 2-10 1-4 4-7 3 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
B. Hunter * 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Middlebrooks * 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
P. Lee 26 3-11 1-6 2-2 3 2 6 0 9 9 0 -
N. Zeisloft 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
K. Keane 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 3 3 -1 -
R. Lynch 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Samuel 15 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
T. Wills 10 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Graham * 25 5-11 1-5 3-4 6 3 0 0 2 14 10 -
B. Weber * 25 4-9 1-2 0-0 5 8 5 0 2 9 16 -
T. Shannon * 23 6-8 0-0 2-5 6 1 2 2 1 14 16 -
J. Reddic * 18 6-8 0-0 1-5 8 2 0 0 0 13 15 -
R. Brandenberg * 18 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 4 2 0 2 12 11 -
J. Burgess 19 2-5 0-1 3-3 4 3 3 0 1 7 11 -
M. Johnson 17 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 11 10 -
J. Guest 16 2-5 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
J. Lewis 13 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 2 1 0 4 6 3 -
M. Alie-Cox 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
D. Brooks 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
J. Lyles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Burston 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Burk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter