Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
Actual: VCU Rams +38 (96-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Z. Lofton * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| D. Knight * | 20 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. Hunter * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Middlebrooks * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Lee | 26 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Keane | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Lynch | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Samuel | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Wills | 10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Graham * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. Weber * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| T. Shannon * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Reddic * | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| R. Brandenberg * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Burgess | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Johnson | 17 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Guest | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Lewis | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Alie-Cox | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Brooks | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Lyles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Burston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Burk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter