Illinois State
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1359 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1330 (#128) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +26.3 (#147) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.347 (#85) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.398 (#77) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.398 (#77) | AdjNet -3.6 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-12 | @ | SMU Mustangs | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2006-11-13 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2006-11-14 | vs | McNeese Cowboys | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2006-11-20 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 66 - 44 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2006-11-29 | vs | Sacramento State Hornets | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2006-12-02 | vs | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2006-12-05 | vs | Miami (OH) Redhawks | W | 64 - 40 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ | Evansville Purple Aces | L | 41 - 69 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ | Western Michigan Broncos | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2006-12-19 | vs | Lewis | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2006-12-23 | @ | UIC Flames | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2006-12-29 | vs | Southern Illinois Salukis | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2007-01-01 | @ | Creighton Bluejays | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2007-01-06 | vs | Indiana State Sycamores | L | 50 - 54 |
| 2007-01-09 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthers | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2007-01-13 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2007-01-15 | vs | Missouri State Bears | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2007-01-18 | vs | Wichita State Shockers | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2007-01-21 | vs | Drake Bulldogs | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2007-01-24 | @ | Bradley Braves | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | Southern Illinois Salukis | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2007-01-30 | vs | Evansville Purple Aces | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2007-02-03 | vs | Bradley Braves | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2007-02-06 | @ | Missouri State Bears | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ | Wichita State Shockers | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2007-02-14 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2007-02-17 | vs | Ball State Cardinals | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2007-02-20 | vs | Creighton Bluejays | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthers | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2007-03-01 | vs | Indiana State Sycamores | L | 65 - 68 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.